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ETF Tracker Newsletter For July 25, 2025

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MARKET RALLIES INTO WEEK’S END, BUT EU TRADE DEADLINE STILL LOOMS

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

The major indexes kicked off the final trading day of the week on a high note, looking set to close out with solid gains. The S&P 500 led the way, while Small Caps and the Nasdaq lagged a bit.

Thursday marked the S&P 500’s 13th record close of the year—and impressively, four of those records came just this week. The Nasdaq wasn’t far behind, notching three new all-time highs of its own.

A strong earnings season has been a real boost, especially thanks to standout reports from Alphabet and Verizon, whose shares jumped 4% and 5% for the week. As of now, over 82% of the 169 S&P 500 companies reporting have topped Wall Street’s expectations—a stat that’s fueling even more optimism.

The fundamentals are pretty friendly for bulls right now: inflation is steady, interest rates are staying in their range, and corporate earnings are showing a solid uptrend. Add to that some recent progress on trade agreements—including with Japan—and the market mood has definitely brightened.

The one big question mark is whether the U.S. can hammer out a deal with the European Union before the August 1 deadline. That remains the market’s biggest unknown, but optimism is still holding up.

For the week, bond yields were mixed, the dollar regained some ground, gold slid for the third day in a row, and Bitcoin continued a two-week slide.

With so much going right for the bulls but that EU trade deadline still looming, I am pondering whether the good vibes will keep rolling—or could if the unresolved trade talks will trip up this rally?

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