ETF Tracker Newsletter For November 13, 2026

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ETF Tracker StatSheet          

You can view the latest version here.

STOCKS END A WILD WEEK HIGHER AS INFLATION AND RATES KEEP INVESTORS GUESSING

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

Today gave investors plenty to chew on. The Nasdaq slipped as Nvidia remained under pressure, extending this week’s selloff, and weighing on the broader tech sector.

Early optimism from a slightly cooler-than-expected producer inflation report didn’t last long once investors noticed that annual wholesale inflation is still running hotter than the Fed would like.

Meanwhile, bond yields kept climbing, with the 10-year Treasury back above 5%, the dollar pushed to fresh highs, and gold and bitcoin both feeling the heat.

Even so, all three major indexes managed to notch gains for the week, proving once again that this market can walk uphill while grumbling the entire way.

The big question now is whether higher rates and sticky inflation are just a speed bump for this rally, or a sign that the road ahead is about to get a little bumpier.

Are we seeing resilience or a warning sign?

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Weekly StatSheet For The ETF Tracker Newsletter – Updated Through 11/12/2026

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ETF Data updated through Thursday, November 12, 2026

How to use this StatSheet:

  1. Out of the 1,800+ ETFs out there, I only pick the ones that trade over $5 million per day (HV ETFs), so you don’t get stuck with a lemon that nobody wants to buy or sell.
  1. Trend Tracking Indexes (TTIs)

These are the main indicators that tell you when to buy or sell Domestic and International ETFs (section 1 and 2). They do that by comparing their position to their long-term M/A (Moving Average). If they cross above, and stay there, it’s a green light to buy. If they fall below, and keep going, it’s a red light to sell. And to make sure you don’t lose your shirt if things go south, I also use a 12% trailing stop loss on all positions in these categories.

  1. All other investment areas don’t have a TTI and should be traded based on the position of each ETF relative to its own trend line (%M/A). That’s why I call them “Selective Buy.” In other words, if an ETF goes above its own trend line, you can buy it. But don’t forget to use a trailing sell stop of 12%, or less if you’re feeling nervous.

If some of these words sound like Greek to you, please check out the Glossary of Terms and new subscriber information in section 9.

  1. DOMESTIC EQUITY ETFs: BUY— effective 5/20/2025

Click on chart to enlarge

This is our main compass, the Domestic Trend Tracking Index (TTI-green line in the above chart). It has broken above its long-term trend line (red) by +6.34% and remains in “Buy” mode, with our holdings being subject to our trailing sell stops.

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From Nvidia To Housing: A Day Of Caution Across Asset Classes

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

The markets got a cold splash of reality today. Nvidia’s stock dropped more than 5% after Jensen Huang stepped down and the company named CFO Colette Kress interim CEO.

Losing the guy who basically built the AI boom is about as close to a worst-case scenario as it gets—visionary leadership doesn’t just transfer with the org chart.

Some money rotated into AMD and Broadcom, but the broader AI trade still felt the pressure.

Oil popped higher after Trump’s blunt Truth Social note that the U.S. doesn’t need a deal with Iran.

Meanwhile bond yields kept climbing, the 10-year back above 5%, the dollar punched out of its long range, and both gold and bitcoin took it on the chin.

Existing-home sales hit their weakest level in over 16 years as mortgage rates refused to cooperate.

All of it left the major indexes in a modest retreat and traders looking for something—anything—that feels like a clear positive.

Anyone else starting to wonder how long this “uncertainty premium” sticks around?

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A Quiet Day From Bonds, A Loud Day For Bulls

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

With the bond market closed and no Fed officials grabbing the microphone, stocks enjoyed a rare day of relative peace and quiet.

The Nasdaq surged 1.8%, fueled by a sharp rebound in Nvidia and a blockbuster 25% jump in CoreWeave after better-than-expected results and higher guidance.

The broader tone was unmistakably risk-on. Strong demand surrounding the AI ecosystem, including enthusiasm around Anthropic’s IPO, helped lift sentiment and suggested traders may still be unwinding last week’s overly pessimistic selloff.

Interestingly, while the Mega Caps participated, the “Magnificent 7” continued to trail the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500, a healthy sign for market breadth.

Elsewhere, the dollar remained on a tear, delivering its strongest two-day run since June and knocking gold below the $4,000 level.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, finally got the memo from tech stocks and climbed back above $74,000.

For one day at least, the market traded as if inflation, rate hikes, and bond yields had taken a vacation. The real question is: will that optimistic mood survive when the bond market clocks back in tomorrow?

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Hot CPI, Hawkish Fed, And A Market Hangover

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

After yesterday’s euphoric rally, the market got a sharp reminder that gravity still exists.

A hotter-than-expected CPI report and some decidedly hawkish comments from the Fed reignited rate fears, sending stocks, bonds, gold, and crypto lower in one swift move.

The CPI came in above expectations, while Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled that another December rate hike is likely and even left the door open for a larger half-point move.

Bond yields responded in a hurry, with the 10-year Treasury vaulting back above 5%, its biggest one-day jump in months.

Adding to the pressure, Nvidia took another beating, helping drag down the Magnificent 7. Interestingly, the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500 held up much better, finishing roughly flat.

The dollar was the day’s clear winner, climbing to multi-month highs and knocking both gold and bitcoin firmly onto the defensive.

In the end, yesterday’s celebration turned into today’s hangover.

The real question now is whether this was just a one-day reality check or the start of a more meaningful repricing of rate expectations?

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Gold Shines, Chips Recover, And Inflation Takes Center Stage

Ulli Market Commentary Contact

[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]

  1. Moving the market

Stocks found their footing today, helped by a sharp drop in oil prices and a rebound in beaten-down chip names.

After last week’s AI-induced turbulence, buyers stepped back in, but the mood was more cautious optimism than all-clear celebration.

The biggest story wasn’t the bounce itself, but the questions hanging over AI. Between political concerns about future regulations and the surprise investigation involving NvidiaCEO Jensen Huang, investors suddenly have more to think about than just the next earnings beat.

Nvidia took a hit, yet the broader tech sector managed to stabilize as traders appeared to conclude that last week’s selling may have gone a bit too far.

Elsewhere, gold blasted back above $4,100, silver and copper joined the move, bond yields ticked higher, and the dollar eased.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, seemed determined to spend the weekend doing absolutely nothing, making it the financial equivalent of a teenager asked to clean the garage.

Now all eyes turn to tomorrow’s CPI report and CoreWeave’s earnings. With inflation data and AI sentiment both in play, will the market get the confirmation it wants, or another reason to keep volatility on speed dial?

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