A Dead Cat Bounce?

It was bound to happen sooner or later. No matter how deeply we are entrenched in a bear market, there will be rallies based on short covering and hope that economic improvement lurks around the corner.

That appeared to be the case yesterday, and we’ll have to wait and see if this will be a substantial rebound or just another one day event. It could have very well been a bounce of the 680 support level, since these price points are not exactly chiseled in stone.

On the other side of the spectrum, as I posted in “Looking for support,” overhead resistance lurks at the 741 level for the S&P; 500. Watch that point, if the rally should carry us that high.

Keep in mind that bear market rallies can be deceiving by their power and duration. From the November 20th closing low, we witnessed a 20% rally over 6 weeks, which many mistook for a new bull market. As we marched into 2009, the rally reversed and we’re down again, as measured by the S&P; 500, having lost 20.31% year-to-date.

One of the drivers for today’s rally was Citigroup’s disclosure that they are enjoying their best quarterly performance since 2007. Duh! Since they’ve received some $150 billion in assistance, shouldn’t they be showing some improvement?

I was scanning the news to see if Citi made a more appropriate statement to go along with their above announcement, maybe along the lines of “we’re glad we’re improving and hope that this is just the beginning so that we can start paying back the assistance you tax payers have given us.”

Anything showing a little humility and gratitude would have gone a long way to improve the negative PR; but no, I found nothing and realized that we will never hear those words, as long as the “me-me-me” corporate attitude prevails.

About Ulli Niemann

Ulli Niemann is the publisher of "The ETF Bully" and is a Registered Investment Advisor. Learn more
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