No Load Fund/ETF Investing: Can Major Market Turns be Predicted?

Using my Trend Tracking Indicators as a guide to determine market direction, any suggestion that deals with the word “prediction” is usually something I don’t pay much attention to.

Maybe I should—at least once in a while.

After the market meltdown on February 27, 2007, reader Ted kindly forwarded the name of a web site to me featuring Martin Armstrong’s Business cycle theories. Reading about his wave theories is not for the faint of heart, and you need to have considerable patience (or is it understanding) of what’s being discussed.

He identified his Economic Confidence Model in 2.15-year intervals and had posted the following critical dates:


The red arrow clearly identifies 2/27/07. A coincidence? Who knows; but I found it interesting that he has forecasted crucial dates up until 1932.

You can read the entire article at:

I’m not sure what to do with this information other than that I will be watching the next potential market turn around date, which is 4/23/09.

In the meantime, I think I’ll stick to using my Trend Tracking Indexes to stay on the right side of the market.

About Ulli Niemann

Ulli Niemann is the publisher of "The ETF Bully" and is a Registered Investment Advisor. Learn more
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