[Chart courtesy of MarketWatch.com]
- Moving the Markets
The S&P touched a two-week high as acquisitions and mergers confirmed to some that, despite hugely elevated market levels, untapped value still exists, although that is clearly in the eye of the beholder.
Expected annualized earnings are supposed to have been risen 1.1% last quarter, which is an improvement after four quarters of contraction. On one hand, this is a positive, however, on the other one also has to look at the fact that the major indexes hovering at extremely high levels, thanks to the Fed’s easy monetary policy, and are already evaluated way higher than underlying economic data would warrant. So, how much upside is left?
A potential fly in the ointment was the crash of China’s currency to all-time lows. When that has happened in the past, as in August 2015 and January 2016, stock markets have followed south and gone into meltdown mode. Will it happen again? Since no one has the answer, we’ll have to wait and see how that theme plays out and if there will be a fallout effect prior to the US election.